Evaluating the Tigers through a Sabermetric lens

Friday, December 18, 2009

More Site News

Well, now that the cat is out the bag, I can formally announce that I'm moving on over to Bless You Boys.What this means is that I'm 99% sure I'll be abandoning this blog for the duration that I'm at BYB. It's been fun since I've started to write semi-regularly in here and I hope anyone that stops by here follows on over there where I won't be changing a thing as I bring the nerdy math, PITCHf/x breakdown, and some prospect talk.

Big thanks to Kurt for inviting me a couple weeks ago and a huge thanks to Ian for making that site the biggest Tigers blog on the internet. I'm excited and honored to write for it.

I've enjoyed growing this blog from rants about Jim Leyland a couple years ago to trying to bring an advanced look into the Detroit Tigers roster construction and an analytical view point at what would be best for the club.

Wednesday, December 9, 2009

Thinking Out Loud What Most Tigers Fans Will Hate

I have no silly intro for this. I've been mulling it around since I wrote about the very first rumors of a Granderson trade bubbled up a few weeks ago: Should the Tigers shop Justin Verlander?

I'm only inspired to write this after Eddie Bajek and Kurt both made similar statements on Twitter. Safety in numbers I suppose.

Here's why I think it is time:

Time To Question Dave Dombrowski?

So today is the day all the media has their reactionary pieces to easily the biggest deal of the Winter Meetings thus far (and likely to be the biggest one of the Winter Meetings once they conclude). This little nugget, via Ian, really, um, intrigued me:

The way I heard how the Granderson trade began was that Arizona was trying to get Edwin Jackson at the GM Meetings and was told Max Scherzer was too little of a return, but felt Scherzer and Daniel Schlereth was too much. So Diamondbacks GM Josh Byrnes' first call was to Cashman because he assumed Granderson fit the Yankees' needs so ideally, and that the Yanks had resources that Detroit wanted.
 Am I the only one that finds this concerning? I know this is going to come off as sounding like "the blogger knows more than the professional sports franchise" but I find this quote to be baffling. Max Scherzer isn't enough for Edwin Jackson? Is it that he strikes out more guys than Jackson? That he's younger and already had a better full season than Jackson's ever had? That he's cheaper? That he's farther away from arbitration? I'm failing to see where it is that Scherzer doesn't stack up with Edwin Jackson in the eyes of the Detroit Tigers.

I'm going to assume that the Tigers have a lot more information at their disposal than I do. I'm also going to assume that Dave Dombrowski can run a professional franchise better than I can. However, I do not follow the reasoning here.

What would a Scherzer-for-Jackson deal have meant?

Tuesday, December 8, 2009

The Trade (Foolish Projections Ahead)

I was going to write this earlier this afternoon after news broke that the Tigers have agreed to deal Curtis Granderson, but I couldn't collect my thoughts enough. Bill, Lee, Matt, Kurt -- and I'm sure Ian, too -- all have thoughts from the emotional side of the issue. They're far more eloquent than I am, so I won't re-hash the things they've said already.

But, being this is Tigers by the Numbers, well, let's get to the numbers after the jump . . .

Monday, December 7, 2009

What to Expect From Adam Everett

We've got our shortstop. Adam Everett has returned for the paltry price of $1.55 million. He apparently was looking in the $3 million range, but signs for half of that. Do we get our money's worth?

Basically, if he repeats his 2009 season, we easily get about 4 times the surplus value of Everett. But, I'm going to say this: he needs to play more.

I know, I know, his bat is awful. It's a pain to watch him stink it up at the plate at the bottom of the order. But that's not where his money lies. Valuing Adam Everett occurs at the jump. . .

Sunday, December 6, 2009

Site Changes

After much thought and consideration, I've decided to grab a domain name. Due to this, I've dropped the previous "Fire Jim Leyland" moniker. It was a more difficult decision than it probably should have been, but I was willing to give up the 5-6 hits I was getting from people typing in a combination of fire, Jim, and/or Leyland in a search engine.

Also, you probably noticed, but in case you haven't (and given the sporadic writings around here, I'm sure most haven't) I threw up the generic google ads. I figured why not? Can't hurt. And I'm up to $2.20 in the month since I've done that. So I'm looking to be living large in my retirement from blogging earnings in or around 2093. It will be amazing.

But the biggest piece of news is that you can now get here by www.tigersbythenumbers.com, as I've changed the name to Tigers by the Numbers. I figured I like the Tigers, I like numbers, and I essentially am putting the two together in every post, it makes sense.

In the mean time, I'm restoring my blog roll to the right -- sorry Kurt, it for some reason won't add your site! I also will probably mess with some of the templates over the next couple of days, so if things seem out of whack, that's why. On the whole, I'm pretty apathetic about the look of this blog as I think the content of it is what is most important. I'm just looking for something clean and easy and will maybe test run a couple of them for a few days each to see what I like the best.

Is Bobby Crosby a Good Move?


Here's a look at a few graphs that should explain whether getting Bobby Crosby is a good move or not: